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  1. newthingsunderthesun.com

    Combinatorial innovation and technological progress in the very long run Contents · Isaac Asimov's Foundation series imagines a world where there are deep statistical regularities underlying social history, which "psychohistorian" Hari Seldon uses to forecast (and even alter) the long-run trajectory of galactic civilization.
    • The Nature of Innovation · New Things Under the Sun

      Combinatorial innovation and technological progress in the very long run. Combinatorial innovation is the notion that technological progress can be understood through the combination of pre-existing ideas or technologies. This process can lead to sub-exponential growth until an explosion of new ideas takes place.

  2. economics.harvard.edu

    This uni-ed framework helps us understand why U.S. technological progress is shifting towards novel combinations, including factors such as the very long use-ful horizons for technological components, the consequential deepening pools of technologies available for recombination, and the exponential power of combinatorial processes. Many of
  3. Was this helpful?
  4. newthingsunderthesun.com

    Feb 14, 2023Combinatorial innovation and technological progress in the very long run. Combinatorial innovation is the notion that technological progress can be understood through the combination of pre-existing ideas or technologies. This process can lead to sub-exponential growth until an explosion of new ideas takes place.
  5. strangeloopcanon.com

    Progress seems to come primarily from innovation and technology. A Kuhnian paradigm shift or the emergence of a new breakthrough innovation is a result of a combinatorial exploration of existing technologies . Technological innovation in any one field shows up in the form of an S curve. Several S curves add together to create exponential growth
  6. We can say very little about the long-run outlook of technological change, and even less about the exact form such change might take. But a certain class of models of innovation - models of combinatorial innovation - does provide some insight about how technological progress may look over very long time frames. Let's have a look.
  7. are hard to pin down due to di culty in measuring degree of technological progress over time. Our goal is to ll this gap by constructing indices of technological progress at the aggregate and sectoral level that are consistently available|and comparable|over long periods of time. Patent statistics are a useful starting point.
  8. podcasts.apple.com

    We can say very little about the long-run outlook of technological change, and even less about the exact form such change might take. But a certain class of models of innovation - models of combinatorial innovation - does provide some insight about how technological progress may look over very long
  9. Combinatorial innovation and technological progress in the very long run. mattsclancy.substack. comment sorted by Best Top New Controversial Q&A Add a Comment. GabrielMartinellli ... "Combinatorial innovation and technological progress in the very long run", Matt Clancy (on hyperbolic vs exponential growth from ideas/R&D) ...
  10. knowledgeproblem.substack.com

    Dec 5, 2024The other (re-)reading I've been doing is Brian Arthur's The Nature of Technology (2009). Arthur presents a theory of combinatorial innovation, which he views as the foundation of technological evolution.Arthur argues that technologies are not created ex nihilo but emerge through the recombination of existing components and ideas. This concept, rooted in complexity science, offers insights ...
  11. (i) technological opportunity must be continuously renewed in order to sustain technological progress over the long run; (ii) if the flows of radical innovations are too small in comparison to the flows of incremental innovations, technological opportunity will be gradually depleted and economic growth will eventually come to a halt, and if radical

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